B. Álvarez
17 years old·LWLM
Peñarol
contract until 2028
57
now
74
max
Where is he most likely to go? 662 clubs ranked
Three things have to be true at once, so they multiply: can they afford him × do they want him × does he want to go there. That last one is what a buying club’s shortlist does not capture — it is why the best player in the Bundesliga ends up at Bayern rather than at whoever needs him most.
OddsClubOVRTheir manBudgetAppealStep
26–50 of 662
Market value €400K · wage €3K/wk
Where he has played
From SoFIFA’s squad updates, one per game edition. A club he left long ago is a more likely return than one he just left.
What is he worth to…
18.2sorted by “Balanced” · horizon 3 years · score at CM
Asking price€630K
Wage€3K per week
Their leagueLa Liga
Their place for him#6 of 662
They usually pay€7.2M median
In the pressnothing
Do you want him
27these may trade off against each otherRight now
What he adds to this seasonQuality10
Gain now0
Later
What he is worth over your horizonPotential20
Gain later5
Age51
Fit
Whether he is the right typeProfile76
Versatility50
Cost
What you get per euroPrice100
× Can it happen
87%one impossible signal sinks itMoney
Can you pay himWages100
The step
Would he come down to youClub100
League100
Stature100
The route
Do players make this moveCountry route68
And these pull on it too:
Below their level×0.85
at 17 this league carries 62, he is 57
Off the beaten path×0.99
players rarely move from that league to this one
Rare here×0.92
this market almost never signs players from that country
The final score is appeal × feasibility. The left half may trade off against itself — an expensive talent makes up for his price with potential. The right half may not: if one thing is impossible, the transfer is impossible, however good the rest looks.