R. Tarnutzer
17 years old·CMCDM
SC Freiburg
contract until 2028
59
now
75
max
Where is he most likely to go? 662 clubs ranked
Three things have to be true at once, so they multiply: can they afford him × do they want him × does he want to go there. That last one is what a buying club’s shortlist does not capture — it is why the best player in the Bundesliga ends up at Bayern rather than at whoever needs him most.
OddsClubOVRTheir manBudgetAppealStep
51–75 of 662
Market value €550K · wage €2K/wk
Where he has played
From SoFIFA’s squad updates, one per game edition. A club he left long ago is a more likely return than one he just left.
What is he worth to…
10.7sorted by “Balanced” · horizon 3 years · score at CM
Asking price€866K
Wage€2K per week
Their leagueSüper Lig
Their place for him#272 of 662
They usually pay€995K median
In the pressnothing
from a much bigger club (75 → 68)
Do you want him
43these may trade off against each otherRight now
What he adds to this seasonQuality36
Gain now0
Later
What he is worth over your horizonPotential45
Gain later61
Age51
Fit
Whether he is the right typeProfile76
Versatility53
Cost
What you get per euroPrice76
× Can it happen
73%one impossible signal sinks itMoney
Can you pay himWages100
The step
Would he come down to youClub34
League65
Stature100
The route
Do players make this moveCountry route52
And these pull on it too:
Off the beaten path×0.98
players rarely move from that league to this one
Rare here×0.35
this market almost never signs players from that country
The final score is appeal × feasibility. The left half may trade off against itself — an expensive talent makes up for his price with potential. The right half may not: if one thing is impossible, the transfer is impossible, however good the rest looks.