P. Otegbayo
17 years old·CB
Stoke City
contract until 2029
55
now
74
max
Where is he most likely to go? 662 clubs ranked
Three things have to be true at once, so they multiply: can they afford him × do they want him × does he want to go there. That last one is what a buying club’s shortlist does not capture — it is why the best player in the Bundesliga ends up at Bayern rather than at whoever needs him most.
OddsClubOVRTheir manBudgetAppealStep
1–25 of 662
Market value €300K · wage €2K/wk
Where he has played
From SoFIFA’s squad updates, one per game edition. A club he left long ago is a more likely return than one he just left.
What is he worth to…
19.5sorted by “Balanced” · horizon 3 years · score at CB
Asking price€473K
Wage€2K per week
Their leagueLeague Two
Their place for him#401 of 662
They usually pay€100K median
In the pressnothing
from a much bigger club (70 → 60)
Do you want him
48these may trade off against each otherRight now
What he adds to this seasonQuality32
Gain now20
Later
What he is worth over your horizonPotential43
Gain later96
Age51
Fit
Whether he is the right typeProfile83
Versatility50
Cost
What you get per euroPrice35
× Can it happen
79%one impossible signal sinks itMoney
Can you pay himWages100
The step
Would he come down to youClub16
League50
Stature100
The route
Do players make this moveCountry route75
And these pull on it too:
Signs at home×0.43
this club rarely signs players from abroad
Well-trodden route×1.20
players move from that league to this one more often than average
The final score is appeal × feasibility. The left half may trade off against itself — an expensive talent makes up for his price with potential. The right half may not: if one thing is impossible, the transfer is impossible, however good the rest looks.