M. Nielsen
20 years old·RBRM
Mjällby AIF
contract until 2030
55
now
67
max
Where is he most likely to go? 662 clubs ranked
Three things have to be true at once, so they multiply: can they afford him × do they want him × does he want to go there. That last one is what a buying club’s shortlist does not capture — it is why the best player in the Bundesliga ends up at Bayern rather than at whoever needs him most.
OddsClubOVRTheir manBudgetAppealStep
1–25 of 662
Market value €300K · wage €650/wk
Where he has played
From SoFIFA’s squad updates, one per game edition. A club he left long ago is a more likely return than one he just left.
What is he worth to…
43.6sorted by “Balanced” · horizon 3 years · score at RB
Asking price€435K
Wage€650 per week
Their leagueSuperliga
They usually pay€600K median
In the pressnothing
from a much bigger club (67 → 63)
Do you want him
50these may trade off against each otherRight now
What he adds to this seasonQuality32
Gain now10
Later
What he is worth over your horizonPotential42
Gain later64
Age79
Fit
Whether he is the right typeProfile85
Versatility50
Cost
What you get per euroPrice77
× Can it happen
92%one impossible signal sinks itMoney
Can you pay himWages100
The step
Would he come down to youClub58
League100
Stature100
The route
Do players make this moveCountry route86
And these pull on it too:
Below their level×0.80
at 20 this league carries 63, he is 55
Well-trodden route×1.20
players move from that league to this one more often than average
The final score is appeal × feasibility. The left half may trade off against itself — an expensive talent makes up for his price with potential. The right half may not: if one thing is impossible, the transfer is impossible, however good the rest looks.