N. Alfaro
17 years old·CMCDM
Sydney FC
contract until 2028
54
now
76
max
Where is he most likely to go? 662 clubs ranked
Three things have to be true at once, so they multiply: can they afford him × do they want him × does he want to go there. That last one is what a buying club’s shortlist does not capture — it is why the best player in the Bundesliga ends up at Bayern rather than at whoever needs him most.
OddsClubOVRTheir manBudgetAppealStep
26–50 of 662
Market value €325K · wage €650/wk
Where he has played
From SoFIFA’s squad updates, one per game edition. A club he left long ago is a more likely return than one he just left.
What is he worth to…
48.4sorted by “Balanced” · horizon 3 years · score at CM
Asking price€512K
Wage€650 per week
Their leagueA-League Men
They usually pay€200K median
In the pressnothing
Do you want him
42these may trade off against each otherRight now
What he adds to this seasonQuality22
Gain now0
Later
What he is worth over your horizonPotential33
Gain later71
Age51
Fit
Whether he is the right typeProfile81
Versatility69
Cost
What you get per euroPrice40
× Can it happen
97%one impossible signal sinks itMoney
Can you pay himWages100
The step
Would he come down to youClub100
League100
Stature100
The route
Do players make this moveCountry route92
And these pull on it too:
Well-trodden route×1.20
players move from that league to this one more often than average
Signs abroad×0.99
this club signs far fewer of its own countrymen than the list suggests
The final score is appeal × feasibility. The left half may trade off against itself — an expensive talent makes up for his price with potential. The right half may not: if one thing is impossible, the transfer is impossible, however good the rest looks.