M. Sesay
18 years old·CMLMLBCDM
Southampton
contract until 2028
56
now
75
max
Where is he most likely to go? 662 clubs ranked
Three things have to be true at once, so they multiply: can they afford him × do they want him × does he want to go there. That last one is what a buying club’s shortlist does not capture — it is why the best player in the Bundesliga ends up at Bayern rather than at whoever needs him most.
OddsClubOVRTheir manBudgetAppealStep
1–25 of 662
Market value €350K · wage €5K/wk
Where he has played
From SoFIFA’s squad updates, one per game edition. A club he left long ago is a more likely return than one he just left.
What is he worth to…
48.5sorted by “Balanced” · horizon 3 years · score at CM
Asking price€551K
Wage€5K per week
Their leagueLeague Two
Their place for him#219 of 662
They usually pay€100K median
In the pressnothing
from a much bigger club (72 → 62)
Do you want him
50these may trade off against each otherRight now
What he adds to this seasonQuality30
Gain now20
Later
What he is worth over your horizonPotential42
Gain later96
Age61
Fit
Whether he is the right typeProfile84
Versatility61
Cost
What you get per euroPrice30
× Can it happen
82%one impossible signal sinks itMoney
Can you pay himWages100
The step
Would he come down to youClub16
League50
Stature100
The route
Do players make this moveCountry route83
And these pull on it too:
Well-trodden route×1.20
players move from that league to this one more often than average
Signs abroad×0.98
this club signs far fewer of its own countrymen than the list suggests
The final score is appeal × feasibility. The left half may trade off against itself — an expensive talent makes up for his price with potential. The right half may not: if one thing is impossible, the transfer is impossible, however good the rest looks.