M. Arias
18 years old·STLMLW
Vélez Sarsfield
contract until 2028
61
now
75
max
Where is he most likely to go? 662 clubs ranked
Three things have to be true at once, so they multiply: can they afford him × do they want him × does he want to go there. That last one is what a buying club’s shortlist does not capture — it is why the best player in the Bundesliga ends up at Bayern rather than at whoever needs him most.
OddsClubOVRTheir manBudgetAppealStep
1–25 of 662
Market value €775K · wage €2K/wk
Where he has played
From SoFIFA’s squad updates, one per game edition. A club he left long ago is a more likely return than one he just left.
What is he worth to…
62.9sorted by “Balanced” · horizon 3 years · score at ST
Asking price€1.2M
Wage€2K per week
Their leagueLiga Profesional de Fútbol
They usually pay€1.1M median
In the pressnothing
from a much bigger club (73 → 63)
Do you want him
60these may trade off against each otherRight now
What he adds to this seasonQuality44
Gain now40
Later
What he is worth over your horizonPotential54
Gain later92
Age61
Fit
Whether he is the right typeProfile87
Versatility77
Cost
What you get per euroPrice75
× Can it happen
91%one impossible signal sinks itMoney
Can you pay himWages100
The step
Would he come down to youClub16
League100
Stature100
The route
Do players make this moveCountry route99
And these pull on it too:
Well-trodden route×1.20
players move from that league to this one more often than average
Signs abroad×0.97
this club signs far fewer of its own countrymen than the list suggests
The final score is appeal × feasibility. The left half may trade off against itself — an expensive talent makes up for his price with potential. The right half may not: if one thing is impossible, the transfer is impossible, however good the rest looks.