A. Ledesma
16 years old·CMCDM
Club Olimpia
contract until 2028
56
now
76
max
Where is he most likely to go? 662 clubs ranked
Three things have to be true at once, so they multiply: can they afford him × do they want him × does he want to go there. That last one is what a buying club’s shortlist does not capture — it is why the best player in the Bundesliga ends up at Bayern rather than at whoever needs him most.
OddsClubOVRTheir manBudgetAppealStep
26–50 of 662
Market value €375K · wage €2K/wk
Where he has played
From SoFIFA’s squad updates, one per game edition. A club he left long ago is a more likely return than one he just left.
What is he worth to…
5sorted by “Balanced” · horizon 3 years · score at CM
Asking price€591K
Wage€2K per week
Their leagueLeague One
Their place for him#559 of 662
They usually pay€100K median
In the pressnothing
from a much bigger club (70 → 64)
Do you want him
50these may trade off against each otherRight now
What he adds to this seasonQuality38
Gain now15
Later
What he is worth over your horizonPotential49
Gain later96
Age43
Fit
Whether he is the right typeProfile88
Versatility73
Cost
What you get per euroPrice33
× Can it happen
65%one impossible signal sinks itMoney
Can you pay himWages100
The step
Would he come down to youClub41
League76
Stature100
The route
Do players make this moveCountry route33
And these pull on it too:
Signs at home×0.44
this club rarely signs players from abroad
Rare here×0.35
this market almost never signs players from that country
The final score is appeal × feasibility. The left half may trade off against itself — an expensive talent makes up for his price with potential. The right half may not: if one thing is impossible, the transfer is impossible, however good the rest looks.