C. Oliveira
17 years old·CAMCM
New England Revolution
contract until 2029
52
now
75
max
Where is he most likely to go? 662 clubs ranked
Three things have to be true at once, so they multiply: can they afford him × do they want him × does he want to go there. That last one is what a buying club’s shortlist does not capture — it is why the best player in the Bundesliga ends up at Bayern rather than at whoever needs him most.
OddsClubOVRTheir manBudgetAppealStep
1–25 of 662
Market value €250K · wage €600/wk
Where he has played
From SoFIFA’s squad updates, one per game edition. A club he left long ago is a more likely return than one he just left.
What is he worth to…
8.8sorted by “Balanced” · horizon 3 years · score at CM
Asking price€394K
Wage€600 per week
Their leagueSérie A
They usually pay€1.5M median
In the pressnothing
plays there for the money — rarely leaves
Do you want him
36these may trade off against each otherRight now
What he adds to this seasonQuality22
Gain now0
Later
What he is worth over your horizonPotential33
Gain later57
Age51
Fit
Whether he is the right typeProfile66
Versatility50
Cost
What you get per euroPrice92
× Can it happen
95%one impossible signal sinks itMoney
Can you pay himWages100
The step
Would he come down to youClub100
League45
Stature100
The route
Do players make this moveCountry route97
And these pull on it too:
Below their level×0.64
at 17 this league carries 72, he is 52
Well-trodden route×1.14
players move from that league to this one more often than average
Rare here×0.35
this market almost never signs players from that country
Money league×0.45
plays in a league players join for the money
The final score is appeal × feasibility. The left half may trade off against itself — an expensive talent makes up for his price with potential. The right half may not: if one thing is impossible, the transfer is impossible, however good the rest looks.