A. Arena
16 years old·ST
Roma
contract until 2028
60
now
81
max
Where is he most likely to go? 662 clubs ranked
Three things have to be true at once, so they multiply: can they afford him × do they want him × does he want to go there. That last one is what a buying club’s shortlist does not capture — it is why the best player in the Bundesliga ends up at Bayern rather than at whoever needs him most.
OddsClubOVRTheir manBudgetAppealStep
1–25 of 662
Market value €775K · wage €4K/wk
Where he has played
From SoFIFA’s squad updates, one per game edition. A club he left long ago is a more likely return than one he just left.
What is he worth to…
6.6sorted by “Balanced” · horizon 3 years · score at ST
Asking price€1.2M
Wage€4K per week
Their leagueK League 1
Their place for him#608 of 662
They usually pay€360K median
In the pressnothing
from a much bigger club (80 → 66)
Do you want him
51these may trade off against each otherRight now
What he adds to this seasonQuality44
Gain now5
Later
What he is worth over your horizonPotential55
Gain later92
Age43
Fit
Whether he is the right typeProfile86
Versatility50
Cost
What you get per euroPrice49
× Can it happen
63%one impossible signal sinks itMoney
Can you pay himWages100
The step
Would he come down to youClub4
League47
Stature100
The route
Do players make this moveCountry route41
And these pull on it too:
Signs at home×0.67
this club rarely signs players from abroad
Off the beaten path×0.88
players rarely move from that league to this one
Rare here×0.35
this market almost never signs players from that country
The final score is appeal × feasibility. The left half may trade off against itself — an expensive talent makes up for his price with potential. The right half may not: if one thing is impossible, the transfer is impossible, however good the rest looks.