I. Daf
Where is he most likely to go? 662 clubs ranked
Three things have to be true at once, so they multiply: can they afford him × do they want him × does he want to go there. That last one is what a buying club’s shortlist does not capture — it is why the best player in the Bundesliga ends up at Bayern rather than at whoever needs him most.
Market value €500K · wage €650/wk
Where he has played
From SoFIFA’s squad updates, one per game edition. A club he left long ago is a more likely return than one he just left.
What is he worth to…
61sorted by “Balanced” · horizon 3 years · score at CDM
Do you want him
58these may trade off against each otherRight now
What he adds to this seasonLater
What he is worth over your horizonFit
Whether he is the right typeCost
What you get per euro× Can it happen
92%one impossible signal sinks itMoney
Can you pay himThe step
Would he come down to youThe route
Do players make this moveThe final score is appeal × feasibility. The left half may trade off against itself — an expensive talent makes up for his price with potential. The right half may not: if one thing is impossible, the transfer is impossible, however good the rest looks.