K. Shiogai
20 years old·ST
VfL Wolfsburg
contract until 2030
68
now
82
max
Where is he most likely to go? 662 clubs ranked
Three things have to be true at once, so they multiply: can they afford him × do they want him × does he want to go there. That last one is what a buying club’s shortlist does not capture — it is why the best player in the Bundesliga ends up at Bayern rather than at whoever needs him most.
OddsClubOVRTheir manBudgetAppealStep
1–25 of 662
Market value €2.9M · wage €16K/wk
Where he has played
From SoFIFA’s squad updates, one per game edition. A club he left long ago is a more likely return than one he just left.
What is he worth to…
17.8sorted by “Balanced” · horizon 3 years · score at ST
Asking price€6.0M
Wage€16K per week
Their leagueChampionship
They usually pay€13M median
In the pressnothing
from a much bigger club (76 → 71)
Do you want him
66these may trade off against each otherRight now
What he adds to this seasonQuality54
Gain now40
Later
What he is worth over your horizonPotential66
Gain later92
Age79
Fit
Whether he is the right typeProfile62
Versatility50
Cost
What you get per euroPrice100
× Can it happen
81%one impossible signal sinks itMoney
Can you pay himWages100
The step
Would he come down to youClub50
League67
Stature100
The route
Do players make this moveCountry route66
And these pull on it too:
Off the beaten path×0.95
players rarely move from that league to this one
Rare here×0.35
this market almost never signs players from that country
The final score is appeal × feasibility. The left half may trade off against itself — an expensive talent makes up for his price with potential. The right half may not: if one thing is impossible, the transfer is impossible, however good the rest looks.