M. Carrizo
17 years old·CAMCM
New York City FC
contract until 2027
55
now
69
max
Where is he most likely to go? 662 clubs ranked
Three things have to be true at once, so they multiply: can they afford him × do they want him × does he want to go there. That last one is what a buying club’s shortlist does not capture — it is why the best player in the Bundesliga ends up at Bayern rather than at whoever needs him most.
OddsClubOVRTheir manBudgetAppealStep
1–25 of 662
Market value €300K · wage €600/wk
Where he has played
From SoFIFA’s squad updates, one per game edition. A club he left long ago is a more likely return than one he just left.
What is he worth to…
33.9sorted by “Balanced” · horizon 3 years · score at CM
Asking price€484K
Wage€600 per week
Their leagueMajor League Soccer
They usually pay€1.2M median
In the pressnothing
Do you want him
30these may trade off against each otherRight now
What he adds to this seasonQuality14
Gain now0
Later
What he is worth over your horizonPotential22
Gain later22
Age51
Fit
Whether he is the right typeProfile85
Versatility50
Cost
What you get per euroPrice72
× Can it happen
98%one impossible signal sinks itMoney
Can you pay himWages100
The step
Would he come down to youClub98
League100
Stature100
The route
Do players make this moveCountry route94
And these pull on it too:
Rival×0.98
his club is a rival and would rather not sell
Well-trodden route×1.20
players move from that league to this one more often than average
Signs abroad×0.96
this club signs far fewer of its own countrymen than the list suggests
Money league×0.45
plays in a league players join for the money
The final score is appeal × feasibility. The left half may trade off against itself — an expensive talent makes up for his price with potential. The right half may not: if one thing is impossible, the transfer is impossible, however good the rest looks.