D. Downs
20 years old·ST
Hamburger SV
contract until 2026
70
now
80
max
Where is he most likely to go? 662 clubs ranked
Three things have to be true at once, so they multiply: can they afford him × do they want him × does he want to go there. That last one is what a buying club’s shortlist does not capture — it is why the best player in the Bundesliga ends up at Bayern rather than at whoever needs him most.
OddsClubOVRTheir manBudgetAppealStep
26–50 of 662
Market value €3.5M · wage €25K/wk
Where he has played
From SoFIFA’s squad updates, one per game edition. A club he left long ago is a more likely return than one he just left.
What is he worth to…
40.6sorted by “Balanced” · horizon 3 years · score at ST
Asking price€4.2M
Wage€25K per week
Their leagueEredivisie
Their place for him#203 of 662
They usually pay€756K median
In the pressnothing
Do you want him
66these may trade off against each otherRight now
What he adds to this seasonQuality62
Gain now35
Later
What he is worth over your horizonPotential70
Gain later75
Age79
Fit
Whether he is the right typeProfile94
Versatility50
Cost
What you get per euroPrice46
× Can it happen
76%one impossible signal sinks itMoney
Can you pay himWages100
The step
Would he come down to youClub78
League64
Stature100
The route
Do players make this moveCountry route50
And these pull on it too:
Out on loan×0.70
he belongs to another club and returns there first
Well-trodden route×1.03
players move from that league to this one more often than average
Contract running out×1.12
his club risks losing him for nothing
The final score is appeal × feasibility. The left half may trade off against itself — an expensive talent makes up for his price with potential. The right half may not: if one thing is impossible, the transfer is impossible, however good the rest looks.