L. Hernández
32 years old·LBLM
Peñarol
contract until 2030
69
now
69
max
Where is he most likely to go? 662 clubs ranked
Three things have to be true at once, so they multiply: can they afford him × do they want him × does he want to go there. That last one is what a buying club’s shortlist does not capture — it is why the best player in the Bundesliga ends up at Bayern rather than at whoever needs him most.
OddsClubOVRTheir manBudgetAppealStep
26–50 of 662
Market value €975K · wage €15K/wk
Where he has played
From SoFIFA’s squad updates, one per game edition. A club he left long ago is a more likely return than one he just left.
What is he worth to…
20sorted by “Balanced” · horizon 3 years · score at CB
Asking price€1.6M
Wage€15K per week
Their leagueEredivisie
Their place for him#332 of 662
They usually pay€1.0M median
In the pressnothing
from a much bigger club (72 → 66)
Do you want him
56these may trade off against each otherRight now
What he adds to this seasonQuality58
Gain now55
Later
What he is worth over your horizonPotential58
Gain later54
Age51
Fit
Whether he is the right typeProfile58
Versatility55
Cost
What you get per euroPrice73
× Can it happen
61%one impossible signal sinks itMoney
Can you pay himWages71
The step
Would he come down to youClub41
League100
Stature100
The route
Do players make this moveCountry route35
And these pull on it too:
Off the beaten path×0.88
players rarely move from that league to this one
Rare here×0.66
this market almost never signs players from that country
The final score is appeal × feasibility. The left half may trade off against itself — an expensive talent makes up for his price with potential. The right half may not: if one thing is impossible, the transfer is impossible, however good the rest looks.