J. Grieves
20 years old·RMCMSTRW
Watford
contract until 2030
58
now
72
max
Where is he most likely to go? 662 clubs ranked
Three things have to be true at once, so they multiply: can they afford him × do they want him × does he want to go there. That last one is what a buying club’s shortlist does not capture — it is why the best player in the Bundesliga ends up at Bayern rather than at whoever needs him most.
OddsClubOVRTheir manBudgetAppealStep
26–50 of 662
Market value €500K · wage €4K/wk
Where he has played
From SoFIFA’s squad updates, one per game edition. A club he left long ago is a more likely return than one he just left.
What is he worth to…
12.7sorted by “Balanced” · horizon 3 years · score at ST
Asking price€938K
Wage€4K per week
Their leagueSuper League
Their place for him#557 of 662
They usually pay€505K median
In the pressnothing
from a much bigger club (70 → 65)
Do you want him
47these may trade off against each otherRight now
What he adds to this seasonQuality38
Gain now0
Later
What he is worth over your horizonPotential50
Gain later43
Age79
Fit
Whether he is the right typeProfile81
Versatility100
Cost
What you get per euroPrice59
× Can it happen
63%one impossible signal sinks itMoney
Can you pay himWages100
The step
Would he come down to youClub50
League55
Stature100
The route
Do players make this moveCountry route29
And these pull on it too:
Signs at home×0.85
this club rarely signs players from abroad
Off the beaten path×0.88
players rarely move from that league to this one
Rare here×0.57
this market almost never signs players from that country
The final score is appeal × feasibility. The left half may trade off against itself — an expensive talent makes up for his price with potential. The right half may not: if one thing is impossible, the transfer is impossible, however good the rest looks.