J. Arias
21 years old·CB
Real Salt Lake
contract until 2030
70
now
81
max
Where is he most likely to go? 662 clubs ranked
Three things have to be true at once, so they multiply: can they afford him × do they want him × does he want to go there. That last one is what a buying club’s shortlist does not capture — it is why the best player in the Bundesliga ends up at Bayern rather than at whoever needs him most.
OddsClubOVRTheir manBudgetAppealStep
26–50 of 662
Market value €3.3M · wage €4K/wk
Where he has played
From SoFIFA’s squad updates, one per game edition. A club he left long ago is a more likely return than one he just left.
What is he worth to…
41sorted by “Balanced” · horizon 3 years · score at CB
Asking price€5.6M
Wage€4K per week
Their leagueLigue 1
Their place for him#76 of 662
They usually pay€4.2M median
In the pressnothing
plays there for the money — rarely leaves
Do you want him
62these may trade off against each otherRight now
What he adds to this seasonQuality60
Gain now20
Later
What he is worth over your horizonPotential71
Gain later68
Age87
Fit
Whether he is the right typeProfile81
Versatility50
Cost
What you get per euroPrice78
× Can it happen
74%one impossible signal sinks itMoney
Can you pay himWages100
The step
Would he come down to youClub100
League45
Stature100
The route
Do players make this moveCountry route46
And these pull on it too:
Off the beaten path×0.95
players rarely move from that league to this one
Rare here×0.94
this market almost never signs players from that country
Money league×0.45
plays in a league players join for the money
The final score is appeal × feasibility. The left half may trade off against itself — an expensive talent makes up for his price with potential. The right half may not: if one thing is impossible, the transfer is impossible, however good the rest looks.