J. Arias
21 years old·CB
Real Salt Lake
contract until 2030
70
now
81
max
Where is he most likely to go? 662 clubs ranked
Three things have to be true at once, so they multiply: can they afford him × do they want him × does he want to go there. That last one is what a buying club’s shortlist does not capture — it is why the best player in the Bundesliga ends up at Bayern rather than at whoever needs him most.
OddsClubOVRTheir manBudgetAppealStep
1–25 of 662
Market value €3.3M · wage €4K/wk
Where he has played
From SoFIFA’s squad updates, one per game edition. A club he left long ago is a more likely return than one he just left.
What is he worth to…
12.6sorted by “Balanced” · horizon 3 years · score at CB
Asking price€5.6M
Wage€4K per week
Their leagueBundesliga
Their place for him#149 of 662
They usually pay€3.2M median
In the pressnothing
plays there for the money — rarely leaves
Do you want him
58these may trade off against each otherRight now
What he adds to this seasonQuality58
Gain now10
Later
What he is worth over your horizonPotential69
Gain later61
Age87
Fit
Whether he is the right typeProfile81
Versatility50
Cost
What you get per euroPrice71
× Can it happen
72%one impossible signal sinks itMoney
Can you pay himWages100
The step
Would he come down to youClub100
League45
Stature100
The route
Do players make this moveCountry route42
And these pull on it too:
Signs at home×0.88
this club rarely signs players from abroad
Off the beaten path×0.96
players rarely move from that league to this one
Rare here×0.35
this market almost never signs players from that country
Money league×0.45
plays in a league players join for the money
The final score is appeal × feasibility. The left half may trade off against itself — an expensive talent makes up for his price with potential. The right half may not: if one thing is impossible, the transfer is impossible, however good the rest looks.