J. Bellingham
19 years old·CMCDM
Borussia Dortmund
contract until 2030
77
now
83
max
Where is he most likely to go? 662 clubs ranked
Three things have to be true at once, so they multiply: can they afford him × do they want him × does he want to go there. That last one is what a buying club’s shortlist does not capture — it is why the best player in the Bundesliga ends up at Bayern rather than at whoever needs him most.
OddsClubOVRTheir manBudgetAppealStep
1–25 of 662
Market value €16M · wage €29K/wk
Where he has played
From SoFIFA’s squad updates, one per game edition. A club he left long ago is a more likely return than one he just left.
What is he worth to…
55.2sorted by “Balanced” · horizon 3 years · score at CDM
Asking price€30M
Wage€29K per week
Their leaguePremier League
Their place for him#13 of 662
They usually pay€3.5M median
In the pressnothing
Do you want him
67these may trade off against each otherRight now
What he adds to this seasonQuality76
Gain now40
Later
What he is worth over your horizonPotential80
Gain later64
Age70
Fit
Whether he is the right typeProfile98
Versatility61
Cost
What you get per euroPrice40
× Can it happen
89%one impossible signal sinks itMoney
Can you pay himWages100
The step
Would he come down to youClub68
League100
Stature100
The route
Do players make this moveCountry route76
And these pull on it too:
Well-trodden route×1.04
players move from that league to this one more often than average
Signs abroad×0.90
this club signs far fewer of its own countrymen than the list suggests
The final score is appeal × feasibility. The left half may trade off against itself — an expensive talent makes up for his price with potential. The right half may not: if one thing is impossible, the transfer is impossible, however good the rest looks.