M. Morgenstern
24 years old·CB
Wolfsberger AC
contract until 2030
60
now
67
max
Where is he most likely to go? 662 clubs ranked
Three things have to be true at once, so they multiply: can they afford him × do they want him × does he want to go there. That last one is what a buying club’s shortlist does not capture — it is why the best player in the Bundesliga ends up at Bayern rather than at whoever needs him most.
OddsClubOVRTheir manBudgetAppealStep
1–25 of 662
Market value €450K · wage €2K/wk
Where he has played
From SoFIFA’s squad updates, one per game edition. A club he left long ago is a more likely return than one he just left.
What is he worth to…
41.6sorted by “Balanced” · horizon 3 years · score at CB
Asking price€743K
Wage€2K per week
Their leagueBundesliga
They usually pay€564K median
In the pressnothing
Do you want him
50these may trade off against each otherRight now
What he adds to this seasonQuality42
Gain now0
Later
What he is worth over your horizonPotential53
Gain later40
Age100
Fit
Whether he is the right typeProfile81
Versatility50
Cost
What you get per euroPrice70
× Can it happen
86%one impossible signal sinks itMoney
Can you pay himWages100
The step
Would he come down to youClub100
League100
Stature100
The route
Do players make this moveCountry route65
And these pull on it too:
Below their level×0.80
at 24 this league carries 66, he is 60
Well-trodden route×1.20
players move from that league to this one more often than average
The final score is appeal × feasibility. The left half may trade off against itself — an expensive talent makes up for his price with potential. The right half may not: if one thing is impossible, the transfer is impossible, however good the rest looks.