M. Ellertsson
23 years old·CMRMLMCAM
Genoa
contract until 2029
71
now
76
max
Where is he most likely to go? 662 clubs ranked
Three things have to be true at once, so they multiply: can they afford him × do they want him × does he want to go there. That last one is what a buying club’s shortlist does not capture — it is why the best player in the Bundesliga ends up at Bayern rather than at whoever needs him most.
OddsClubOVRTheir manBudgetAppealStep
1–25 of 662
Market value €2.8M · wage €13K/wk
Where he has played
From SoFIFA’s squad updates, one per game edition. A club he left long ago is a more likely return than one he just left.
What is he worth to…
61.3sorted by “Balanced” · horizon 3 years · score at CM
Asking price€4.2M
Wage€13K per week
Their leagueSerie A
They usually pay€3.5M median
In the pressnothing
Do you want him
69these may trade off against each otherRight now
What he adds to this seasonQuality62
Gain now45
Later
What he is worth over your horizonPotential70
Gain later64
Age97
Fit
Whether he is the right typeProfile96
Versatility50
Cost
What you get per euroPrice81
× Can it happen
87%one impossible signal sinks itMoney
Can you pay himWages100
The step
Would he come down to youClub100
League100
Stature100
The route
Do players make this moveCountry route67
And these pull on it too:
Signs at home×0.90
this club rarely signs players from abroad
Well-trodden route×1.20
players move from that league to this one more often than average
Rare here×0.94
this market almost never signs players from that country
The final score is appeal × feasibility. The left half may trade off against itself — an expensive talent makes up for his price with potential. The right half may not: if one thing is impossible, the transfer is impossible, however good the rest looks.