A. Varela
23 years old·CDMCM
FC Porto
contract until 2028
80
now
85
max
Where is he most likely to go? 662 clubs ranked
Three things have to be true at once, so they multiply: can they afford him × do they want him × does he want to go there. That last one is what a buying club’s shortlist does not capture — it is why the best player in the Bundesliga ends up at Bayern rather than at whoever needs him most.
OddsClubOVRTheir manBudgetAppealStep
26–50 of 662
Market value €29M · wage €15K/wk
Where he has played
From SoFIFA’s squad updates, one per game edition. A club he left long ago is a more likely return than one he just left.
What is he worth to…
45sorted by “Balanced” · horizon 3 years · score at CDM
Asking price€44M
Wage€15K per week
Their leaguePremier League
Their place for him#16 of 662
They usually pay€25M median
In the pressnothing
Do you want him
65these may trade off against each otherRight now
What he adds to this seasonQuality80
Gain now10
Later
What he is worth over your horizonPotential88
Gain later40
Age97
Fit
Whether he is the right typeProfile98
Versatility53
Cost
What you get per euroPrice79
× Can it happen
78%one impossible signal sinks itMoney
Can you pay himWages100
The step
Would he come down to youClub100
League100
Stature100
The route
Do players make this moveCountry route49
And these pull on it too:
Off the beaten path×1.00
players rarely move from that league to this one
Rare here×0.88
this market almost never signs players from that country
The final score is appeal × feasibility. The left half may trade off against itself — an expensive talent makes up for his price with potential. The right half may not: if one thing is impossible, the transfer is impossible, however good the rest looks.