P. Nebel
22 years old·CAMCMRM
1. FSV Mainz 05
contract until 2027
76
now
83
max
Where is he most likely to go? 662 clubs ranked
Three things have to be true at once, so they multiply: can they afford him × do they want him × does he want to go there. That last one is what a buying club’s shortlist does not capture — it is why the best player in the Bundesliga ends up at Bayern rather than at whoever needs him most.
OddsClubOVRTheir manBudgetAppealStep
1–25 of 662
Market value €15M · wage €24K/wk
Where he has played
From SoFIFA’s squad updates, one per game edition. A club he left long ago is a more likely return than one he just left.
What is he worth to…
28.5sorted by “Balanced” · horizon 3 years · score at CM
Asking price€17M
Wage€24K per week
Their leaguePremier League
Their place for him#30 of 662
They usually pay€7.2M median
In the pressnothing
Do you want him
56these may trade off against each otherRight now
What he adds to this seasonQuality66
Gain now0
Later
What he is worth over your horizonPotential75
Gain later33
Age93
Fit
Whether he is the right typeProfile100
Versatility50
Cost
What you get per euroPrice67
× Can it happen
85%one impossible signal sinks itMoney
Can you pay himWages100
The step
Would he come down to youClub100
League100
Stature100
The route
Do players make this moveCountry route63
And these pull on it too:
Signs at home×0.90
this club rarely signs players from abroad
Well-trodden route×1.04
players move from that league to this one more often than average
Rare here×0.64
this market almost never signs players from that country
The final score is appeal × feasibility. The left half may trade off against itself — an expensive talent makes up for his price with potential. The right half may not: if one thing is impossible, the transfer is impossible, however good the rest looks.