FC Team Builder

M. Caicedo

23 years old·CDMCM
Chelsea
contract until 2033
88
now
90
max

Where is he most likely to go? 662 clubs ranked

Three things have to be true at once, so they multiply: can they afford him × do they want him × does he want to go there. That last one is what a buying club’s shortlist does not capture — it is why the best player in the Bundesliga ends up at Bayern rather than at whoever needs him most.

OddsClubStep
15.4Real Madrid!La Liga-1.4
14.3Paris Saint-Germain!Ligue 1-1.6
14Manchester City!Premier League-1.5
13.1Arsenal!Premier League-1.4
12.4Liverpool!Premier League-1.5
8.8FC Barcelona!La Liga-1.4
8.2FC Bayern München!Bundesliga-2.4
6.2Juventus!Serie A-2.4
5.9Atlético Madrid!La Liga-3.2
5.2Manchester United!Premier League+0.2
4.8Tottenham Hotspur!Premier League-1.6
3.8RB Leipzig!Bundesliga-4.1
3.3Newcastle United!Premier League-3.3
3Napoli!Serie A-4.1
2.9Inter!Serie A-2.9
2.9Borussia Dortmund!Bundesliga-2.5
2.7Aston Villa!Premier League-3.3
2.5AC Milan!Serie A-4.1
2.5West Ham United!Premier League-3
2.4Brighton & Hove Albion!Premier League-5.1
2Roma!Serie A-4.7
2Bayer 04 Leverkusen!Bundesliga-5.4
1.9Nottingham Forest!Premier League-4.5
1.9Villarreal CF!La Liga-5
1.8Real Betis Balompié!La Liga-5
125 of 662
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Market value €107M · wage €185K/wk

Where he has played

From SoFIFA’s squad updates, one per game edition. A club he left long ago is a more likely return than one he just left.

ChelseaPremier League3 seasonsnow
Brighton & Hove AlbionPremier League4 seasonsto 2024
Independiente del ValleSerie A2 seasonsto 2021

What is he worth to…

31.5

sorted by “Balanced” · horizon 3 years · score at CM

Asking price€203M
Wage€185K per week
Their leagueEredivisie
Their place for him#59 of 662
They usually pay€3.1M median
In the pressnothing
wages 5.3× your top earner

Do you want him

82these may trade off against each other

Right now

What he adds to this season
Quality92
Gain now75

Later

What he is worth over your horizon
Potential95
Gain later75
Age97

Fit

Whether he is the right type
Profile88
Versatility60

Cost

What you get per euro
Price4

× Can it happen

43%one impossible signal sinks it

Money

Can you pay him
Wages0

The step

Would he come down to you
Club35
League48
Stature38

The route

Do players make this move
Country route92
And these pull on it too:
Off the beaten path×1.00
players rarely move from that league to this one
Rare here×0.91
this market almost never signs players from that country
One-club player×0.60
attached to his club
Injury prone×0.88
flagged as injury prone in the data

The final score is appeal × feasibility. The left half may trade off against itself — an expensive talent makes up for his price with potential. The right half may not: if one thing is impossible, the transfer is impossible, however good the rest looks.