J. Nelson
22 years old·LWRWLM
Austin FC
contract until 2028
68
now
75
max
Where is he most likely to go? 662 clubs ranked
Three things have to be true at once, so they multiply: can they afford him × do they want him × does he want to go there. That last one is what a buying club’s shortlist does not capture — it is why the best player in the Bundesliga ends up at Bayern rather than at whoever needs him most.
OddsClubOVRTheir manBudgetAppealStep
26–50 of 662
Market value €2.5M · wage €4K/wk
Where he has played
From SoFIFA’s squad updates, one per game edition. A club he left long ago is a more likely return than one he just left.
What is he worth to…
48.6sorted by “Balanced” · horizon 3 years · score at CM
Asking price€4.3M
Wage€4K per week
Their leagueMajor League Soccer
They usually pay€1.6M median
In the pressnothing
Do you want him
42these may trade off against each otherRight now
What he adds to this seasonQuality32
Gain now0
Later
What he is worth over your horizonPotential41
Gain later26
Age93
Fit
Whether he is the right typeProfile74
Versatility73
Cost
What you get per euroPrice47
× Can it happen
96%one impossible signal sinks itMoney
Can you pay himWages100
The step
Would he come down to youClub97
League100
Stature100
The route
Do players make this moveCountry route90
And these pull on it too:
Rival×0.97
a key player at a direct rival — they will not sell
Well-trodden route×1.20
players move from that league to this one more often than average
Money league×0.45
plays in a league players join for the money
The final score is appeal × feasibility. The left half may trade off against itself — an expensive talent makes up for his price with potential. The right half may not: if one thing is impossible, the transfer is impossible, however good the rest looks.