J. Tolkin
22 years old·LBLM
Holstein Kiel
contract until 2028
70
now
77
max
Where is he most likely to go? 662 clubs ranked
Three things have to be true at once, so they multiply: can they afford him × do they want him × does he want to go there. That last one is what a buying club’s shortlist does not capture — it is why the best player in the Bundesliga ends up at Bayern rather than at whoever needs him most.
OddsClubOVRTheir manBudgetAppealStep
26–50 of 662
Market value €3.1M · wage €10K/wk
Where he has played
From SoFIFA’s squad updates, one per game edition. A club he left long ago is a more likely return than one he just left.
What is he worth to…
39.3sorted by “Balanced” · horizon 3 years · score at CM
Asking price€4.7M
Wage€10K per week
Their leagueMajor League Soccer
Their place for him#14 of 662
They usually pay€1.6M median
In the pressnothing
Do you want him
49these may trade off against each otherRight now
What he adds to this seasonQuality42
Gain now0
Later
What he is worth over your horizonPotential51
Gain later40
Age93
Fit
Whether he is the right typeProfile80
Versatility72
Cost
What you get per euroPrice51
× Can it happen
95%one impossible signal sinks itMoney
Can you pay himWages100
The step
Would he come down to youClub60
League100
Stature100
The route
Do players make this moveCountry route94
And these pull on it too:
Off the beaten path×0.97
players rarely move from that league to this one
Signs abroad×0.88
this club signs far fewer of its own countrymen than the list suggests
One-club player×0.60
attached to his club
The final score is appeal × feasibility. The left half may trade off against itself — an expensive talent makes up for his price with potential. The right half may not: if one thing is impossible, the transfer is impossible, however good the rest looks.