Rafael Leão
26 years old·LWLMST
AC Milan
contract until 2028
84
now
85
max
Where is he most likely to go? 662 clubs ranked
Three things have to be true at once, so they multiply: can they afford him × do they want him × does he want to go there. That last one is what a buying club’s shortlist does not capture — it is why the best player in the Bundesliga ends up at Bayern rather than at whoever needs him most.
OddsClubOVRTheir manBudgetAppealStep
26–50 of 662
Market value €50M · wage €79K/wk
Where he has played
From SoFIFA’s squad updates, one per game edition. A club he left long ago is a more likely return than one he just left.
What is he worth to…
42.7sorted by “Balanced” · horizon 3 years · score at CM
Asking price€74M
Wage€79K per week
Their leagueLigue 1
They usually pay€6.6M median
In the pressnothing
Do you want him
55these may trade off against each otherRight now
What he adds to this seasonQuality64
Gain now10
Later
What he is worth over your horizonPotential66
Gain later26
Age97
Fit
Whether he is the right typeProfile86
Versatility75
Cost
What you get per euroPrice31
× Can it happen
87%one impossible signal sinks itMoney
Can you pay himWages100
The step
Would he come down to youClub78
League94
Stature85
The route
Do players make this moveCountry route74
And these pull on it too:
Well-trodden route×1.01
players move from that league to this one more often than average
Rare here×0.89
this market almost never signs players from that country
The final score is appeal × feasibility. The left half may trade off against itself — an expensive talent makes up for his price with potential. The right half may not: if one thing is impossible, the transfer is impossible, however good the rest looks.