João Carvalho
28 years old·CAMLWLMCM
GD Estoril Praia
contract until 2027
74
now
74
max
Where is he most likely to go? 662 clubs ranked
Three things have to be true at once, so they multiply: can they afford him × do they want him × does he want to go there. That last one is what a buying club’s shortlist does not capture — it is why the best player in the Bundesliga ends up at Bayern rather than at whoever needs him most.
OddsClubOVRTheir manBudgetAppealStep
1–25 of 662
Market value €4.2M · wage €12K/wk
Where he has played
From SoFIFA’s squad updates, one per game edition. A club he left long ago is a more likely return than one he just left.
What is he worth to…
60.4sorted by “Balanced” · horizon 3 years · score at LW
Asking price€4.6M
Wage€12K per week
Their leaguePrimeira Liga
Their place for him#8 of 662
They usually pay€3.0M median
In the pressnothing
Do you want him
55these may trade off against each otherRight now
What he adds to this seasonQuality68
Gain now10
Later
What he is worth over your horizonPotential68
Gain later22
Age87
Fit
Whether he is the right typeProfile89
Versatility60
Cost
What you get per euroPrice78
× Can it happen
96%one impossible signal sinks itMoney
Can you pay himWages100
The step
Would he come down to youClub100
League100
Stature100
The route
Do players make this moveCountry route89
And these pull on it too:
Well-trodden route×1.20
players move from that league to this one more often than average
Signs abroad×0.95
this club signs far fewer of its own countrymen than the list suggests
The final score is appeal × feasibility. The left half may trade off against itself — an expensive talent makes up for his price with potential. The right half may not: if one thing is impossible, the transfer is impossible, however good the rest looks.