T. Alexander-Arnold
26 years old·RBRM
Real Madrid
contract until 2031
85
now
86
max
Where is he most likely to go? 662 clubs ranked
Three things have to be true at once, so they multiply: can they afford him × do they want him × does he want to go there. That last one is what a buying club’s shortlist does not capture — it is why the best player in the Bundesliga ends up at Bayern rather than at whoever needs him most.
OddsClubOVRTheir manBudgetAppealStep
51–75 of 662
Market value €58M · wage €230K/wk
Where he has played
From SoFIFA’s squad updates, one per game edition. A club he left long ago is a more likely return than one he just left.
What is he worth to…
45.9sorted by “Balanced” · horizon 3 years · score at RB
Asking price€110M
Wage€230K per week
Their leagueLigue 1
Their place for him#6 of 662
They usually pay€17M median
In the pressnothing
Do you want him
71these may trade off against each otherRight now
What he adds to this seasonQuality92
Gain now35
Later
What he is worth over your horizonPotential94
Gain later43
Age97
Fit
Whether he is the right typeProfile79
Versatility50
Cost
What you get per euroPrice51
× Can it happen
85%one impossible signal sinks itMoney
Can you pay himWages98
The step
Would he come down to youClub100
League84
Stature100
The route
Do players make this moveCountry route65
And these pull on it too:
Well-trodden route×1.02
players move from that league to this one more often than average
Rare here×0.76
this market almost never signs players from that country
The final score is appeal × feasibility. The left half may trade off against itself — an expensive talent makes up for his price with potential. The right half may not: if one thing is impossible, the transfer is impossible, however good the rest looks.