L. Bailey
27 years old·RMRW
Aston Villa
contract until 2027
78
now
78
max
Where is he most likely to go? 662 clubs ranked
Three things have to be true at once, so they multiply: can they afford him × do they want him × does he want to go there. That last one is what a buying club’s shortlist does not capture — it is why the best player in the Bundesliga ends up at Bayern rather than at whoever needs him most.
OddsClubOVRTheir manBudgetAppealStep
26–50 of 662
Market value €15M · wage €95K/wk
Where he has played
From SoFIFA’s squad updates, one per game edition. A club he left long ago is a more likely return than one he just left.
What is he worth to…
48.3sorted by “Balanced” · horizon 3 years · score at LW
Asking price€29M
Wage€95K per week
Their leaguePremier League
They usually pay€7.2M median
In the pressnothing
Do you want him
54these may trade off against each otherRight now
What he adds to this seasonQuality62
Gain now10
Later
What he is worth over your horizonPotential62
Gain later22
Age93
Fit
Whether he is the right typeProfile90
Versatility70
Cost
What you get per euroPrice53
× Can it happen
86%one impossible signal sinks itMoney
Can you pay himWages100
The step
Would he come down to youClub70
League100
Stature100
The route
Do players make this moveCountry route69
And these pull on it too:
Rival×0.70
his club is a rival and would rather not sell
Signs at home×0.90
this club rarely signs players from abroad
Well-trodden route×1.17
players move from that league to this one more often than average
The final score is appeal × feasibility. The left half may trade off against itself — an expensive talent makes up for his price with potential. The right half may not: if one thing is impossible, the transfer is impossible, however good the rest looks.