R. Guerreiro
31 years old·LBCMRBLM
FC Bayern München
contract until 2029
79
now
79
max
Where is he most likely to go? 662 clubs ranked
Three things have to be true at once, so they multiply: can they afford him × do they want him × does he want to go there. That last one is what a buying club’s shortlist does not capture — it is why the best player in the Bundesliga ends up at Bayern rather than at whoever needs him most.
OddsClubOVRTheir manBudgetAppealStep
1–25 of 662
Market value €13M · wage €61K/wk
Where he has played
From SoFIFA’s squad updates, one per game edition. A club he left long ago is a more likely return than one he just left.
What is he worth to…
29.8sorted by “Balanced” · horizon 3 years · score at CM
Asking price€14M
Wage€61K per week
Their leagueEredivisie
Their place for him#114 of 662
They usually pay€1.0M median
In the pressnothing
from a much bigger club (84 → 75)
Do you want him
67these may trade off against each otherRight now
What he adds to this seasonQuality76
Gain now60
Later
What he is worth over your horizonPotential76
Gain later57
Age61
Fit
Whether he is the right typeProfile95
Versatility60
Cost
What you get per euroPrice29
× Can it happen
53%one impossible signal sinks itMoney
Can you pay himWages41
The step
Would he come down to youClub21
League64
Stature65
The route
Do players make this moveCountry route49
And these pull on it too:
Well-trodden route×1.03
players move from that league to this one more often than average
Rare here×0.81
this market almost never signs players from that country
The final score is appeal × feasibility. The left half may trade off against itself — an expensive talent makes up for his price with potential. The right half may not: if one thing is impossible, the transfer is impossible, however good the rest looks.