Kepa
30 years old·GK
Arsenal
contract until 2028
79
now
79
max
Where is he most likely to go? 662 clubs ranked
Three things have to be true at once, so they multiply: can they afford him × do they want him × does he want to go there. That last one is what a buying club’s shortlist does not capture — it is why the best player in the Bundesliga ends up at Bayern rather than at whoever needs him most.
OddsClubOVRTheir manBudgetAppealStep
1–25 of 662
Market value €12M · wage €76K/wk
Where he has played
From SoFIFA’s squad updates, one per game edition. A club he left long ago is a more likely return than one he just left.
What is he worth to…
15.1sorted by “Balanced” · horizon 3 years · score at GK
Asking price€17M
Wage€76K per week
Their leaguePremier League
Their place for him#57 of 662
They usually pay€2.5M median
In the pressnothing
from a much bigger club (84 → 75)
Do you want him
65these may trade off against each otherRight now
What he adds to this seasonQuality78
Gain now55
Later
What he is worth over your horizonPotential78
Gain later54
Age70
Fit
Whether he is the right typeProfile67
Versatility50
Cost
What you get per euroPrice47
× Can it happen
69%one impossible signal sinks itMoney
Can you pay himWages89
The step
Would he come down to youClub21
League100
Stature92
The route
Do players make this moveCountry route49
And these pull on it too:
Signs at home×0.82
this club rarely signs players from abroad
Well-trodden route×1.17
players move from that league to this one more often than average
Rare here×0.35
this market almost never signs players from that country
The final score is appeal × feasibility. The left half may trade off against itself — an expensive talent makes up for his price with potential. The right half may not: if one thing is impossible, the transfer is impossible, however good the rest looks.