L. Shaw
29 years old·LBCBLM
Manchester United
contract until 2027
79
now
79
max
Where is he most likely to go? 662 clubs ranked
Three things have to be true at once, so they multiply: can they afford him × do they want him × does he want to go there. That last one is what a buying club’s shortlist does not capture — it is why the best player in the Bundesliga ends up at Bayern rather than at whoever needs him most.
OddsClubOVRTheir manBudgetAppealStep
1–25 of 662
Market value €16M · wage €83K/wk
Where he has played
From SoFIFA’s squad updates, one per game edition. A club he left long ago is a more likely return than one he just left.
What is he worth to…
60.6sorted by “Balanced” · horizon 3 years · score at LB
Asking price€17M
Wage€83K per week
Their leagueChampionship
They usually pay€12M median
In the pressnothing
from a much bigger club (80 → 72)
Do you want him
76these may trade off against each otherRight now
What he adds to this seasonQuality76
Gain now75
Later
What he is worth over your horizonPotential76
Gain later68
Age79
Fit
Whether he is the right typeProfile87
Versatility63
Cost
What you get per euroPrice82
× Can it happen
77%one impossible signal sinks itMoney
Can you pay himWages77
The step
Would he come down to youClub26
League51
Stature100
The route
Do players make this moveCountry route80
And these pull on it too:
Well-trodden route×1.20
players move from that league to this one more often than average
Signs abroad×0.87
this club signs far fewer of its own countrymen than the list suggests
The final score is appeal × feasibility. The left half may trade off against itself — an expensive talent makes up for his price with potential. The right half may not: if one thing is impossible, the transfer is impossible, however good the rest looks.