M. Sels
33 years old·GK
Nottingham Forest
contract until 2027
81
now
81
max
Where is he most likely to go? 662 clubs ranked
Three things have to be true at once, so they multiply: can they afford him × do they want him × does he want to go there. That last one is what a buying club’s shortlist does not capture — it is why the best player in the Bundesliga ends up at Bayern rather than at whoever needs him most.
OddsClubOVRTheir manBudgetAppealStep
51–75 of 662
Market value €8.5M · wage €66K/wk
Where he has played
From SoFIFA’s squad updates, one per game edition. A club he left long ago is a more likely return than one he just left.
What is he worth to…
31.5sorted by “Balanced” · horizon 3 years · score at GK
Asking price€6.8M
Wage€66K per week
Their leagueSerie B
They usually pay€3.1M median
In the pressnothing
from a much bigger club (79 → 72)
Do you want him
76these may trade off against each otherRight now
What he adds to this seasonQuality84
Gain now100
Later
What he is worth over your horizonPotential84
Gain later85
Age35
Fit
Whether he is the right typeProfile69
Versatility50
Cost
What you get per euroPrice74
× Can it happen
70%one impossible signal sinks itMoney
Can you pay himWages100
The step
Would he come down to youClub34
League40
Stature70
The route
Do players make this moveCountry route53
And these pull on it too:
Signs at home×0.73
this club rarely signs players from abroad
Off the beaten path×0.94
players rarely move from that league to this one
Rare here×0.86
this market almost never signs players from that country
The final score is appeal × feasibility. The left half may trade off against itself — an expensive talent makes up for his price with potential. The right half may not: if one thing is impossible, the transfer is impossible, however good the rest looks.