I. Gueye
Where is he most likely to go? 662 clubs ranked
Three things have to be true at once, so they multiply: can they afford him × do they want him × does he want to go there. That last one is what a buying club’s shortlist does not capture — it is why the best player in the Bundesliga ends up at Bayern rather than at whoever needs him most.
Market value €4.9M · wage €35K/wk
Where he has played
From SoFIFA’s squad updates, one per game edition. A club he left long ago is a more likely return than one he just left.
What is he worth to…
6.3sorted by “Balanced” · horizon 3 years · score at CDM
Do you want him
9these may trade off against each othershelf life 15%Right now
What he adds to this seasonLater
What he is worth over your horizonFit
Whether he is the right typeCost
What you get per euro× Can it happen
85%one impossible signal sinks itMoney
Can you pay himThe step
Would he come down to youThe route
Do players make this moveThe final score is appeal × feasibility. The left half may trade off against itself — an expensive talent makes up for his price with potential. The right half may not: if one thing is impossible, the transfer is impossible, however good the rest looks.