Rafael
35 years old·GK
Real Salt Lake
contract until 2027
69
now
69
max
Where is he most likely to go? 662 clubs ranked
Three things have to be true at once, so they multiply: can they afford him × do they want him × does he want to go there. That last one is what a buying club’s shortlist does not capture — it is why the best player in the Bundesliga ends up at Bayern rather than at whoever needs him most.
OddsClubOVRTheir manBudgetAppealStep
1–25 of 662
Market value €150K · wage €2K/wk
Where he has played
From SoFIFA’s squad updates, one per game edition. A club he left long ago is a more likely return than one he just left.
What is he worth to…
10.3sorted by “Balanced” · horizon 3 years · score at GK
Asking price€120K
Wage€2K per week
Their league2. Bundesliga
Their place for him#192 of 662
They usually pay€1.7M median
In the pressnothing
plays there for the money — rarely leaves
Do you want him
51these may trade off against each otherRight now
What he adds to this seasonQuality60
Gain now55
Later
What he is worth over your horizonPotential60
Gain later54
Age3
Fit
Whether he is the right typeProfile65
Versatility50
Cost
What you get per euroPrice100
× Can it happen
70%one impossible signal sinks itMoney
Can you pay himWages100
The step
Would he come down to youClub53
League44
Stature100
The route
Do players make this moveCountry route42
And these pull on it too:
Signs at home×0.93
this club rarely signs players from abroad
Off the beaten path×0.88
players rarely move from that league to this one
Rare here×0.35
this market almost never signs players from that country
One-club player×0.60
attached to his club
Money league×0.45
plays in a league players join for the money
The final score is appeal × feasibility. The left half may trade off against itself — an expensive talent makes up for his price with potential. The right half may not: if one thing is impossible, the transfer is impossible, however good the rest looks.